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The Architecture of Turkey’s Domestic Politics: The People’s Alliance, State Mechanisms, and the Question of Political Tenure toward 2028

The appointment of former Istanbul Chief Public Prosecutor Akin Gürlek as Minister of Justice carries deep political implications, given his association with sensitive judicial files related to the opposition. The Turkish opposition interpreted the move as a politicization of the judiciary, while international analyses linked it to the redeployment of legal instruments in managing political conflict. The simultaneous change in…

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New Study: “Gulf Investments and Regional Security: Applying RSCT to Saudi Economic Diplomacy in Syria and Jordan”

The study examines how Saudi Arabia employs economic tools as a primary mechanism of political and security influence in the Middle East, focusing on two structurally different cases: post-war Syria and relatively stable but economically dependent Jordan. The research is grounded in the assumption that economic diplomacy has increasingly replaced direct military intervention as the most effective instrument for managing…

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Bangladesh Elections and the Rise of Jamaat-e-Islami: A Shift in Political Equilibria

Elections constitute pivotal moments that not only reflect the will of voters but may also reveal shifts in the internal balance of political power within a state-particularly when their outcomes diverge from patterns that have long defined the political landscape. This is currently evident in Bangladesh following the announcement of parliamentary election results, which showed the Bangladesh Nationalist Party securing…

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Ramadan and Al-Aqsa: Toward a New “Status Quo” Taking Shape Through Gradual Accumulation

Ramadan is approaching amid escalating challenges imposed by the Israeli police inside the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound. Police and administrative measures are intensifying in ways that are no longer read as temporary security steps, but rather as accumulated tools producing a new status quo. In this context, the slogan “custodianship does not mean sovereignty” is not advanced merely as a legal…

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The European Perspective on the Future Role of the United States

▪️ The rise of European skepticism regarding the viability of the strategic partnership with Washington and the renewed prominence of the concept of European “strategic autonomy.”▪️ The erosion of trust within NATO as a result of increasing American unilateralism and the reordering of security priorities.▪️ Accumulated trade disputes between the two sides, exacerbated by tariffs and reciprocal threats.▪️ A widening…

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Ankara at a Critical Juncture: How Is It Viewed from Jordan?

The security architecture of the Middle East has, for several years, been undergoing profound and overlapping transformations that have reshaped the contours of the regional environment. The expansion of fragile states, the continuation of Israeli military operations and their repercussions for regional stability, coupled with the decline of U.S. engagement and the erosion of the effectiveness of the “security umbrella”…

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Muscat Round: The Thin Thread of Hope Between Washington and Tehran

Muscat, the capital of Oman, hosted last Friday a new round of “indirect” U.S.–Iran negotiations—an attempt to identify common ground that might pave the way for an agreement capable of defusing a potential war. Such a confrontation could erupt if the United States were to launch a military strike against Iran, a move that would likely compel Tehran to respond…

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An Expert on Iranian Affairs: Any Change in Iran Will Come “From Within,” with the Blessing of the Revolutionary Guard and the Religious Establishment

The Nature of Protests and Internal Transformations in Iran Despite their recurrence since 2009, protests in Iran cannot be read as a movement aimed at overthrowing the regime, but rather as a broad reformist pressure mechanism seeking to redistribute power and wealth and to achieve greater developmental justice. Although calls for “regime change” have appeared at specific historical moments, they…

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Pezeshkian’s Dilemma: Structural Constraints on Belated Reform and the Limits of Internal Transition in Iran

Masoud Pezeshkian’s experience embodies a living manifestation of the reformist’s predicament when he is summoned after the moment has passed—not as a project of structural transformation, but as an instrument for managing deadlock and reducing the costs of systemic collapse. The legacy of Ayatollah Hossein Ali Montazeri represents a latent horizon of internal transition, one that may still allow for…

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From Lobby to Hegemony

The American researcher and one of the most prominent scholars in international relations and U.S. foreign policy, Jeffrey Sachs, does not hesitate, in his commentary on the American campaign against Iran, to state that Israel today fully leads America in the Middle East. This is something many now regard as one of the core assumptions in analyzing U.S. foreign policy.…

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