Slide 2

This assessment proceeds from the premise that the Israeli–U.S. war on Iran has moved beyond the stage of proxy warfare into a phase of gradual attrition, cost escalation, and the reconfiguration of the region’s geopolitical and strategic environment. Drawing on a modified Delphi approach that synthesizes the assessments of a number of experts and researchers, the paper seeks to distill…

In the context of the current regional war, internal measures in Jerusalem are being transformed into part of a broader politicization of emergency. As Buzan, Waever, and de Wilde argue, securitization is the process through which an issue is moved beyond the ordinary rules of political practice by presenting it as an existential threat that justifies recourse to exceptional[1] measures.…

In exceptional times-when the deep structure of the state begins to tremble and the central question becomes one of regime survival-systems tend to revert to their most weighty figures in both institutional standing and collective memory; to those who embody accumulated layers of experience, legitimacy, networks, and foundational narrative. It is precisely through this lens that one may interpret the…

It comes as little surprise that Iraq has become one of the central arenas of confrontation and a direct theater in today’s regional war. The 2003 U.S. invasion, the expansion of Iranian influence, the scale of external interventions, and the overlap of local and regional actors on its territory have collectively transformed Iraq into a contested space, both a battlefield…

The ongoing escalation on Lebanon is no longer a security event that can be managed through the conventional tools the state has relied on in previous phases. The open confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah, occurring alongside the broader war on Iran, not only signals Lebanon’s transition into a more dangerous field phase, but also reveals the country’s entry into a…

The politics and society institute held a closed discussion session via Zoom on February 25, 2026, titled “The West Bank in the Context of Structural Transformation: Security, Political Legitimacy, and the Jordanian Strategic Environment.” The session addressed the ongoing transformations in the West Bank and their regional implications, in light of the rapid political and security developments in the region.…

In a notable incident in the Yarmouk Basin area in the western countryside of Daraa Governorate, several residents received emergency warning messages on their mobile phones classified as “maximum severity.” The alerts were delivered in four languages-Arabic, Hebrew, English, and Russian-and were accompanied by audible alarms and automatic phone vibrations, including an automated audio reading of the message’s content. The…

Since the outbreak of armed clashes in April 2023, Sudan has entered a phase of open conflict between the army and the Rapid Support Forces, a conflict that has gone beyond a dispute between two military commands to reveal a deeper crisis related to the structure of the Sudanese state itself. The confrontation that began in Khartoum quickly spread to…

It is no longer sufficient to analyze Donald Trump’s speeches in order to construct an analytical framework for understanding the strategic objectives and perceptions of the United States in the current war with Iran. Trump’s rhetoric has clearly become a tool of strategic deception, as demonstrated twice in relation to the strikes on Iran. At the same time, it serves…

“In this article, the assistant researcher at the Institute of Politics and Society, Meera Meshal, discusses the reasons that prompted Hezbollah to engage in the war  in favor of Iran in confronting the United States and Israel. She reviews the hypotheses about this intervention, whether they are internal, related to the relationship with the current Lebanese government, or regional and…