Slide 2

The results of the seventh round of Lebanese-Israeli negotiations show that the track has entered a phase far more complex than a simple dispute over a ceasefire or withdrawal from specific points. The core of the problem is now bound up with the shape of the security arrangements Israel wants to impose in south Lebanon, and with the limits of…

The Politics and Society Institute, in a new policy paper, examines a recurring problem in Jordan’s legislative process: the transfer of a number of draft laws to the House of Representatives amid wide-ranging debate over their objectives, justifications, and implications—accompanied by intensive efforts on the part of the government to explain and defend its bills only after they have already…

Al-Hol After ISIS: Closing the Camp and Redistributing the Burden A Study of Residents’ and Detainees’ Futures, Legal Responsibilities, and Evolving Risks for Jordan and the Region Executive Summary This study examines the transformations undergone by the Al-Hol camp. It traces its establishment in 1991 to receive Iraqi refugees, up through its conversion following the fall of ISIS’s last pocket…

The Iraqi government has recently intensified its rhetoric about its intention to “restrict arms to the state” once the withdrawal of the US-led international coalition forces from Iraq is completed by September 30 of this year, alongside Baghdad’s repeated rejection of Iraq being used as a launchpad for attacks on regional states or as an arena for proxy war. These…

When the name Mohammad Reza Pahlavi is mentioned, the mind often turns to his final image — leaving Tehran in the winter of 1979, aboard a plane carrying him into long exile, as the “Islamic Revolution” prepared to open a new chapter in the history of the country and the region. Yet this image, for all its symbolic weight, compresses…

Introduction The Houthi movement’s military escalation against Saudi Arabia marks a major shift in the trajectory of the conflict in Yemen and in the relationship between the two sides, effectively ending the truce that had held since April 2022. The strikes on Abha airport (13 July) and on two oil tankers in the Red Sea (23 July)[1] were not simply…

Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa’s recent interview on Al Jazeera came at an exceptionally sensitive juncture — coinciding with the completion of the process to form the People’s Assembly, the renewed talk of a possible Syrian military intervention in Lebanon, and pressing domestic files, chief among them the Damascus–Deir ez-Zor road incident, which claimed the lives of 35 people. This unfolded…

Whenever the concept of democracy is raised, attention instinctively turns to politics—to elections, parliaments, political parties, freedom of expression, and the peaceful transfer of power. Modern political experience has firmly established these as the principal indicators of democratic maturity and institutional stability. Yet another question deserves equal attention, particularly amid today’s profound economic transformations: Can wealth itself become more democratic? This…

The Middle East is not returning to its old order, nor has a new one fully emerged; it is passing through a prolonged transitional phase. Gregory Gause correctly warns against confusing military victories with political transformation, but underestimates the depth of structural regional change. Regional Security Complex Theory offers a more convincing framework for understanding the ongoing reconfiguration of the…

Report: Türkiye does not want Iran to collapse or Israel to become a dominant regional power, as both scenarios threaten its security and strategic interests. Report: Israeli expansion in Syria and Lebanon could become a direct strategic challenge to Türkiye after the war. Report: Ankara seeks to consolidate its role as a balancing power and regional mediator while keeping communication…