Publications

The Iran America Didn’t Expect

The U.S.-Israeli war against Iran was accompanied by political expectations that went far beyond degrading Tehran’s nuclear program or weakening its military capabilities. In Washington and Tel Aviv, many believed the conflict would become a founding moment for a different Iran—either by producing a political order more closely aligned with the West and less committed to its anti-Western ideology, or…

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A new issue of the Jordanian Politics and Society Journal (JPS) discusses the war against Iran and the reshaping of Middle Eastern power balances

The Politics and Society Institute (PSI) has published the fifth issue of its semi-annual Jordanian Politics and Society Journal (JPS), focusing on the political, security, economic, and strategic repercussions of the U.S.–Israeli war against Iran and its profound implications for the balance of power in the Middle East, the future of the regional order, and the position of Arab states…

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Washington’s Fight with Anthropic: What it Means for the Rest of Us

Colonialism had a clear method. Take the land. Extract the raw material. Send the value home. Govern just enough to keep that value-extraction pipeline open. The data economy works the same way: Take something from people before they understand they are giving it away. Turn it into power. Sell it back to them as a “service.” The raw material used…

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Israel’s Next Election and the Fall of Netanyahu’s Government: Would the Opposition Change Israeli Policy or Simply Reproduce It?

The central question is not merely whether Israel’s opposition can unseat Benjamin Netanyahu and his far-right coalition in the next election. More importantly, if such a political shift occurs, would it produce a substantive change in Israel’s policies toward the core Palestinian issues—particularly annexation, Palestinian statehood, and the E1 settlement project? This article begins with the hypothesis that an electoral…

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Lebanon After the Islamabad Understanding: Qatar’s Role and the Limits of the Transition from War Management to Settlement Management

The U.S.–Iranian understanding announced under Pakistani sponsorship has reopened the door to a new political phase in the Middle East. However, the Lebanese arena quickly emerged as the first practical test of this understanding’s ability to endure and translate into realities on the ground. While the agreement was expected to reduce tensions across the various fronts linked to the U.S.–Iran…

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Iran’s Third Republic in the Making

In recent weeks, a series of brief remarks by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have conveyed important signals about the nature of the unspoken disagreements within the structure of the Iranian political system. During a limited meeting with a group of intellectuals and elites, the president stressed the importance of preventing any single institution from monopolizing decision-making during this sensitive period.…

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Samir Al-Rifai’s Resignation:  The Unspoken Dimensions of the Discourse

  At first glance, Samir Al-Rifai’s resignation letter (from the Sente Council) appears to be a conventional text within the traditions of the Jordanian state: a language of loyalty, a discourse of gratitude, references to the Hashemite leadership, and a courteous request for the acceptance of his resignation from the Senate. Yet a deeper reading suggests hidden layers and meanings…

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When the Old Political Maps Crumble: From the Median Voter to the Angry Voter

The Economist recently paused to examine Jean-Luc Mélenchon, one of France’s most prominent left-wing politicians, as a political phenomenon worthy of attention. The question the magazine raised was not merely about his place in French politics, but about what his rise reveals: how has a radical left-wing politician in his seventies become one of the most successful figures in attracting…

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Will Hamas Elections Pull the Movement Out of Its Crisis?

Hamas’s current elections are not merely a process of leadership replacement; they constitute a test of the movement’s ability to survive and reconstruct itself in the aftermath of the losses incurred since October 7. The internal competition within Hamas revolves around two principal approaches: one centered on resistance, alignment with Iran, and close ties to the military wing; and another…

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The Assassination of al-Minoki: Where Does the Policy of Decapitation Lead?

Do organizations end with the assassination of their leaders? This question was raised by the world after the killings of Osama bin Laden and al-Baghdadi, and it resurfaces today with Trump’s announcement of eliminating the second-in-command of ISIS at the heart of Africa[1] in the Lake Chad region. But before analyzing the event as a victory or a failure, the…

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