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When Nuclear Weapons No Longer Deter

Over the past few weeks, the Middle East has experienced a rapid sequence of developments that have brought the region into a renewed state of uncertainty. Among the most significant were Israeli strikes targeting Iranian sites, followed shortly by U.S. precision airstrikes on three of Iran’s key nuclear-related facilities: the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, the Natanz Nuclear Centre, and the…

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Shifting Sands in the Middle East: The Post-‘Axis of Resistance’ Phase

The Israeli-Iranian war reflects a shift in the dynamics governing regional relations in the Middle East. It embodies a significant development in Israel’s new security doctrine—moving from a defensive security perspective to a strategy of offence, dominance, and long-range deterrence. This expansion stretches from eastern Iran to southern Yemen. It aims at eliminating key threats that have evolved incrementally since…

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Where Will the Crisis Between the State and Islamists in Jordan End?

The relationship between the Jordanian state and the original, now-banned Muslim Brotherhood has been a focal point of elite discussions and social media debates for several weeks. These debates often explicitly or implicitly take dangerous turns that affect internal cohesion. Critics of the Brotherhood sometimes generalise the discussion to broader national identity and unity themes. At the same time, Brotherhood…

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The Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan: A Strategic Crossroads

The Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan stands today at a strategic crossroads in redefining its role and its relationship with both the state and society. While the current flashpoint revolves around a group of 16 youths—most of whom are affiliated with the Brotherhood—accused of manufacturing and possessing weapons, this case is only part of a broader and escalating crisis between the…

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The War on Gaza and What Comes After: A Preliminary Reading of Crises and New Ideas

Major historical-political events or turning points are closely linked to the movement of ideas. They often lead to new intellectual waves that emerge after previous trends. The current war of extermination in Gaza, with its massive emotional and visual impact and the anger and resentment it stirs among broad segments of Arab societies, will undoubtedly have significant ideological and intellectual…

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Jordanian-Iraqi Relations: Towards a Rethinking?

This material was published in the second issue of the Jordanian Politics and Society magazine (JPS). In recent years, Jordanian-Iraqi relations have witnessed a qualitative leap, following a long period marked by much doubt and caution between the two sides. While it cannot be said that the development of this relationship has completely eliminated the previous situation, it has made…

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Jordan’s National Security and Jordanian-Gulf Relations: A Road for a Better Understanding

This material was published in the second issue of the Jordanian Politics and Society magazine (JPS). The term national security of states refers to the protection and preservation of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of a state and the well-being of its citizens from external and internal threats. It includes a wide range of measures, including protection of national sovereignty,…

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Fostering Climate Resilience in the MENA Region through Strategic Partnerships and Adaptive Governance

MENA Context The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region face severe climate change challenges, including water scarcity, desertification, and extreme weather, significantly impacting Agri-food systems and communities[1]. These issues exacerbate social and economic inequalities, particularly for marginalized groups like women and low-income communities. Political instability and governance problems hinder effective resources management, climate action and equitable policy implementation. While…

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The Complexities of the Solution in Northern Syria: The Course of Damascus-SDF Negotiations

Indicators in the Syrian landscape point towards a Détente that aligns with the broader trend in Syria towards increased stability. Following the tripartite meeting that included the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), the Syrian Democratic Council (SDC), and the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES), on Monday, 18 February, several fundamental decisions were made. These decisions create an atmosphere…

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Iran’s regional strategy and Jordanian national security

This material was published in the second issue of the Jordanian Politics and Society magazine (JPS). The Iranian regional strategy has raised many questions regarding the objectives it seeks to achieve in the Middle East. Are these objectives tied to Iran’s vision for the region, or are they more focused on countering adversaries and rivals? Regardless of the nature of…

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