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The outbreak of war in 2026 has profoundly reshaped Iran’s political landscape, intensifying long-standing tensions between reformist and conservative currents within the Islamic Republic. Conventional wisdom suggests that wartime conditions-marked by heightened securitization, centralization of authority, and intolerance for dissent-inevitably marginalize reformist actors, by subordinating political pluralism to regime survival. Indeed, early assessments point to the consolidation of power among…

The contemporary geopolitical landscape is undergoing a profound structural transformation driven by the maturation of what is best understood as digitized capitalism. In this emerging paradigm, traditional market dynamics and democratic processes are being replaced by platform-based economies, generating the rapid accumulation of unprecedented wealth and power among a new class of technological elite-Digital Lords. This class now commands vast…

In exceptional times-when the deep structure of the state begins to tremble and the central question becomes one of regime survival-systems tend to revert to their most weighty figures in both institutional standing and collective memory; to those who embody accumulated layers of experience, legitimacy, networks, and foundational narrative. It is precisely through this lens that one may interpret the…

It comes as little surprise that Iraq has become one of the central arenas of confrontation and a direct theater in today’s regional war. The 2003 U.S. invasion, the expansion of Iranian influence, the scale of external interventions, and the overlap of local and regional actors on its territory have collectively transformed Iraq into a contested space, both a battlefield…

The rise of the new Syrian government under the leadership of Ahmad al-Shar‘ marks a pivotal turning point in the reconfiguration of regional balances-not only within Syria, but also across the Lebanese arena. The organic linkage that once bound Hezbollah to the former Syrian regime led by Bashar al-Assad constituted one of the central pillars of the party’s regional project.…

Abstract This paper posits that the Islamic Action Front Party (IAF) in Jordan may be included among the entities subjected to U.S. security assessment, on the basis that it represents one of the organizational arms linked-according to the American perspective-to the Muslim Brotherhood. The assessment may also encompass certain charitable associations operating in Jordan, as well as senior figures who…

On 18 October 2025, the U.S. Department of State issued a warning statement [1] affirming that it had received “documented reports” indicating Hamas’s intention to carry out an “imminent attack” against Palestinian civilians inside the Gaza Strip, characterizing this as a “direct and grave” violation of the ceasefire that entered into force on 10 October. The statement noted that the…

The visit of Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shibani to Beirut in October 2025 marked a pivotal political moment in the trajectory of relations between the two countries. It was not a conventional diplomatic visit; rather, it represented the first practical test of the evolving relationship between the “new Syria” and Lebanon after two decades of transformation and discontinuity. The visit…

Israeli intelligence agencies have developed since the state’s founding based on advanced intelligence traditions, including human intelligence (HUMINT) and cryptography. Over time, they expanded in response to regional security challenges. Since the wars of 1967 and 1973, Israel has equipped its agencies with the latest technologies, ranging from night-vision systems and drones (UAVs) to satellites and cyber-espionage capabilities. Investing in…

Despite Ahmad al-Shara’ (formerly Abu Muhammad al-Jolani) emphasizing the closure of past chapters and committing to a new methodology with a Syrian character—manifested in a wholly new ideological and political discourse distinct from that of global jihadist movements—the movement’s roots, context, and other facets represent a new model within jihadist movements. This is described by one of its most prominent…