The future of the entire region today is contingent upon the repercussions of the war between United States, Israel, and Iran. Nevertheless, it is difficult at this stage to predict the form or image that things will take after the war, as everything is linked to its trajectories and its military and political outcomes. What is clear, however, is that…
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Iran’s regional influence is undergoing a phase of accelerated erosion on multiple levels. This decline did not emerge suddenly, nor can it be explained solely through external pressure. Rather, it reflects the cumulative consequences of strategic choices made by Tehran itself when it opted to position itself as a central actor in the regional order through an approach whose costs…
Read More »The war on Iran does not merely represent a military confrontation linked to the nuclear program or to the traditional conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel. Rather, it reflects a profound moment of regional restructuring in the Middle East, extending beyond the boundaries of direct conflict toward the redefinition of spheres of influence, the functions of states, and…
Read More »This study examines public digital discourse across the six member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Oman) concerning relations with the United States during the period from 27 February to 30 April 2026. The study’s timeframe encompasses three principal phases: the initial shock phase marked by the outbreak of the…
Read More »The future of the entire region today is contingent upon the repercussions of the war between United States, Israel, and Iran. Nevertheless, it is difficult at this stage to predict the form or image that things will take after the war, as everything is linked to its trajectories and its military and political outcomes. What is clear, however, is that…
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What is actually advancing is a more disciplined style of decision-making organized around one overriding objective: protecting the regime. If that objective requires hardline policies, the system will produce hardline policies. If it requires negotiations, the system will produce negotiations. The overlap of authorities functions as a mechanism of survival rather than a sign of weakness. Ghalibaf’s importance lies in…
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The contemporary geopolitical landscape is undergoing a profound structural transformation driven by the maturation of what is best understood as digitized capitalism. In this emerging paradigm, traditional market dynamics and democratic processes are being replaced by platform-based economies, generating the rapid accumulation of unprecedented wealth and power among a new class of technological elite-Digital Lords. This class now commands vast…
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In exceptional times-when the deep structure of the state begins to tremble and the central question becomes one of regime survival-systems tend to revert to their most weighty figures in both institutional standing and collective memory; to those who embody accumulated layers of experience, legitimacy, networks, and foundational narrative. It is precisely through this lens that one may interpret the…
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It comes as little surprise that Iraq has become one of the central arenas of confrontation and a direct theater in today’s regional war. The 2003 U.S. invasion, the expansion of Iranian influence, the scale of external interventions, and the overlap of local and regional actors on its territory have collectively transformed Iraq into a contested space, both a battlefield…
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The rise of the new Syrian government under the leadership of Ahmad al-Shar‘ marks a pivotal turning point in the reconfiguration of regional balances-not only within Syria, but also across the Lebanese arena. The organic linkage that once bound Hezbollah to the former Syrian regime led by Bashar al-Assad constituted one of the central pillars of the party’s regional project.…
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