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The U.S. Statement on Hamas’s Intent to Breach the Agreement: Political Implications and Approaches for the Coming Phase

On 18 October 2025, the U.S. Department of State issued a warning statement [1] affirming that it had received “documented reports” indicating Hamas’s intention to carry out an “imminent attack” against Palestinian civilians inside the Gaza Strip, characterizing this as a “direct and grave” violation of the ceasefire that entered into force on 10 October. The statement noted that the…

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Asaad al-Shibani’s Visit to Beirut: Toward a Redefinition of Syrian–Lebanese Relations

The visit of Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shibani to Beirut in October 2025 marked a pivotal political moment in the trajectory of relations between the two countries. It was not a conventional diplomatic visit; rather, it represented the first practical test of the evolving relationship between the “new Syria” and Lebanon after two decades of transformation and discontinuity. The visit…

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The Evolution of Israeli Intelligence in the Technological and Military Context

Israeli intelligence agencies have developed since the state’s founding based on advanced intelligence traditions, including human intelligence (HUMINT) and cryptography. Over time, they expanded in response to regional security challenges. Since the wars of 1967 and 1973, Israel has equipped its agencies with the latest technologies, ranging from night-vision systems and drones (UAVs) to satellites and cyber-espionage capabilities. Investing in…

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The “Victory” of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham and the “Post-Jihadism” Model

Despite Ahmad al-Shara’ (formerly Abu Muhammad al-Jolani) emphasizing the closure of past chapters and committing to a new methodology with a Syrian character—manifested in a wholly new ideological and political discourse distinct from that of global jihadist movements—the movement’s roots, context, and other facets represent a new model within jihadist movements. This is described by one of its most prominent…

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“The New Syria”: Religion, The State and Future of Islamism

The main question regarding Ahmad al-Shar’a and the controversial role of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in Syria’s future goes beyond personal or partisan dimensions. In other words, it’s not the core issue. The main question is whether al-Julani or HTS (in whatever political form it may take – a political party or an ideological alliance) will be a dominant actor…

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Operation “Deterrence of Aggression”: Timing and Implications

Aleppo governorate has witnessed rapid military developments over the past three days following the announcement of Operation “Deterrence of Aggression” by Syrian opposition forces. This operation has resulted in the capture of significant areas in Aleppo’s western countryside and parts of its surrounding areas, alongside a swift retreat by Syrian regime forces. These developments mark a potentially pivotal moment in…

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Echoes in the Digital Realm: Report on World Wide Engagement and Narratives on The Events in Gaza

Click here to download the full report In the wake of escalating tensions in Palestine, especially Gaza, the digital realm has seen an unprecedented surge in conversations and media coverage. These conversations offer a window into global perspectives, providing varied interpretations of the evolving situation. For this report, our team has embarked on a meticulous journey to capture, gather, and…

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Jordan’s strategic interests in light of US-Saudi negotiations

Presently, the Biden administration is earnestly pursuing concrete progress in its discussions with Riyadh concerning the normalization of relations between Saudi Arabia and Tel Aviv. The conversation no longer revolves around the mere possibility of normalization but centers on the terms of the imminent agreement to be reached by the three parties involved. It appears that the fundamental concept of…

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Jordan between the dearth of political cognizance and real leaders, the struggle of political wings and the phenomenon of the inverted pyramid

An article by former MP Salim Al-Batayneh about the new political parties in Jordan, which were established in the post-modernization of the political system, and he quotes the analytical field study issued by the Politics and Society Institute and the King Abdullah II Fund for Development on Jordanian political parties. Lack of political maturity, awareness, Don Quixote leaderships, faction struggles,…

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On the Cusp of Change

Field analytical study of the situation of Jordanian political parties and expected paths to Download click here

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