Regional Policies

As Lebanon closes out 2025, it has emerged from a state of complete institutional vacuum, yet it has not entered a phase of sustainable stability. The state has formally reoccupied its institutional position, but this position remains constrained by internal and external limitations that render every move susceptible to escalating into a new crisis. What distinguishes the current phase is…

This strategy differs from the strategies of past administrations where U.S. global hegemony was the prominent goal. Instead, the Trump administration is utilizing a hardline approach that prioritizes U.S. domestic interests, at the expense of longstanding relations with economic and security partners. By presenting a ‘Trump Corollary’ to the Monroe Doctrine, the U.S. administration is actively pursuing dominance in the…

Since the outbreak of armed confrontations between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), Sudan has been experiencing a complex conflict that goes beyond a direct military struggle for power. Rather, it reflects a deeper structural crisis rooted in the nature of the state itself and its symbiotic institutional formation. While the majority of analyses focus…

Western discourse today portrays Iran as one rigid, uniform state, usually equating its people to its strict government. But behind that misconception lies a plural society built on ethnic diversity, layered identity and a national consciousness that has been shaped more by culture and history rather than politics alone. A living mosaic thriving together despite all their differences, Iran is…

Resolution 2803 represents a decisive moment in the trajectory of the war on Gaza-not merely as a framework for a ceasefire, but as an international mechanism aimed at politically and security-wise re-engineering the Strip. It does so through the creation of the Peace Council as a transitional body and the authorization of an international stabilization force endowed with broad powers,…

The assassination of Haitham Ali al-Tabtabaei, one of Hezbollah’s most prominent military commanders, in Beirut’s southern suburb did not occur as an isolated security incident that can be treated as yet another Israeli operation within the ongoing shadow war between the two sides. Rather, the strike-unfolding at a regional moment in which Israeli military signals intersect with heightened political and…

This study examines how the so-called “Islamic State” (ISIS) shifted from the model of a centralized caliphate-previously directed from Iraq and Syria-to a decentralized structure built on relatively autonomous local franchises across Africa. This transformation followed the collapse of the organization’s central command in the Levant and the emergence of a highly unstable African environment marked by state fragility. Multiple…

On 24 November 2025, United States President Donald Trump issued an executive order that took a half-step that three decades of precedent suggested was based on inaccurate information and analysis.  The order claimed that it “sets in motion  a process by which certain chapters or other subdivisions of the Muslim Brotherhood shall be considered for designation as Foreign Terrorist Organizations.”…

The draft bill recently introduced in the U.S. Congress marks a pivotal moment in the trajectory of Israeli control over Jerusalem. For the first time, this trajectory shifts from the realm of on-the-ground policies and administrative measures to the level of binding U.S. legislation, effectively granting Israel an extraterritorial legal shield to consolidate its religious sovereignty over al-Aqsa Mosque. This…

From the very first moment, it was clear that the American plan to manage Gaza after the recent war was not merely a technical proposal for reconstruction or the administration of specific areas. As documents examined by Western media reveal, it is an American attempt to reproduce a political and security vision for the future in a space where all…