Regional Policies

From Crossing Point to Strategic Asset: Rethinking Jordan’s Borders

Hours of waiting at the King Hussein Bridge may prove more consequential than major political decisions. From this perspective, the significance of the recent agreement signed between the Ministry of Awqaf and Islamic Affairs and Royal Jordanian Airlines becomes clear. Signed in the presence of the Ministers of Awqaf and Transport, the five-year agreement aims to provide integrated services for…

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Managing Conflict in Lebanon: Saudi-Arab Momentum as a Mechanism for Regulating Regional Balances

Lebanon today does not appear to be standing at the threshold of a political settlement so much as it is embedded within an intensive phase of crisis management—one in which balances are being carefully regulated to prevent explosion, while the conditions for a genuine resolution remain absent. The intersecting political and field-level indicators suggest that the key regional and international…

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Iran Under the Supreme Leader’s Cloak: Who Controls the Decision Between War, Negotiation, and Succession?

What is actually advancing is a more disciplined style of decision-making organized around one overriding objective: protecting the regime. If that objective requires hardline policies, the system will produce hardline policies. If it requires negotiations, the system will produce negotiations. The overlap of authorities functions as a mechanism of survival rather than a sign of weakness. Ghalibaf’s importance lies in…

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The New Map of the Middle East and Jordan’s Dilemma

In parallel with the ongoing war and the current phase of negotiations between the United States and Iran—and the debates and “day after” scenarios that follow—there are negotiations of no lesser importance and powerful dynamics taking shape in the region, but on a different front: the economic one. In particular, large-scale economic projects and the logistics networks they entail have…

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Negotiating Under Fire: Lebanon’s Position in the Reconfiguration of Regional Negotiation Tracks

The announcement by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of the launch of direct negotiations with Lebanon, in parallel with U.S. efforts to convene a preparatory meeting in Washington, marked a turning point in the course of the ongoing war. It shifted the Lebanese file from the framework of open military confrontation to the threshold of an unstable negotiating track. This…

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The Discourse War:How Iran Manages Its Information Battle in the Digital Space

Introduction: When Social Media Becomes a Battlefield Since October 7, 2023, war has no longer been confined to the ground. A parallel front has opened in the digital space — a contest over narrative, over image, over who controls what reaches the eyes of millions. But this front did not emerge suddenly, nor was it born of the Flood. In…

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Multi-Front Warfare and the Reconfiguration of Israeli Strategy Between Domestic and Regional Dimensions

Introduction The current war in the Middle East is unfolding within an intense regional context in which the ability to predict the trajectories of the conflict and its political and military outcomes has significantly diminished. Since October 7, the region has entered a new phase in which the war has expanded and assumed a multi-front character that is no longer…

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A report by the Politics and Society Institute: Jordanian public opinion rejects the war on Iran without aligning with any side, approaching it primarily through the lens of its economic and security repercussions

More than 363.3 thousand Jordanian public posts discussed the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran. Over 31.3 thousand Jordanian public accounts engaged with the topic across social media platforms. More than 13 million Jordanian interactions, comments, and shares were recorded online regarding the war. A majority of Jordanians reject the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran, while simultaneously refraining from aligning with Iran. Approximately…

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Legislating Death: What Does the New Israeli Law Reveal?

The tools used to target and kill Palestinians are no longer confined to direct killing or field violence; they now also extend to legal and institutional structures that work to reorganize and manage repression within spaces of detention. Places where prisoners are held can thus be read as part of a broader structure for managing control and punishment and for…

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Scorched Earth Policy: The Road to a New Security Belt

The conflict along the Lebanese border is entering a different phase, one in which military objectives are intertwined with attempts to reshape both the geographic and demographic realities. This trajectory is reflected in the statements of Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz: “We will establish a buffer zone inside southern Lebanon and maintain control over it.” Such statements do not appear…

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