The Middle East is not returning to its old order, nor has a new one fully emerged; it is passing through a prolonged transitional phase. Gregory Gause correctly warns against confusing military victories with political transformation, but underestimates the depth of structural regional change. Regional Security Complex Theory offers a more convincing framework for understanding the ongoing reconfiguration of the…
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Report: Türkiye does not want Iran to collapse or Israel to become a dominant regional power, as both scenarios threaten its security and strategic interests. Report: Israeli expansion in Syria and Lebanon could become a direct strategic challenge to Türkiye after the war. Report: Ankara seeks to consolidate its role as a balancing power and regional mediator while keeping communication…
Read More »Since the signing of the U.S.–Iran Memorandum of Understanding, a far more consequential debate has been unfolding across the Gulf than the agreement itself. The central question is no longer whether the war has ended or who emerged victorious. Instead, it concerns whether the conflict has fundamentally altered one of the most deeply embedded assumptions in Gulf politics over the…
Read More »It is clear that the main title of the upcoming Riyadh summit is to stop the decision to freeze the participation of the Syrian regime in the meetings of the League of Arab States, including the invitation of the head of the regime himself, Bashar al-Assad, to the summit, a trend that caught the attention of many Arab governments, during…
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