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Iran Under the Supreme Leader’s Cloak: Who Controls the Decision Between War, Negotiation, and Succession?

What is actually advancing is a more disciplined style of decision-making organized around one overriding objective: protecting the regime. If that objective requires hardline policies, the system will produce hardline policies. If it requires negotiations, the system will produce negotiations. The overlap of authorities functions as a mechanism of survival rather than a sign of weakness. Ghalibaf’s importance lies in…

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The New Map of the Middle East and Jordan’s Dilemma

In parallel with the ongoing war and the current phase of negotiations between the United States and Iran—and the debates and “day after” scenarios that follow—there are negotiations of no lesser importance and powerful dynamics taking shape in the region, but on a different front: the economic one. In particular, large-scale economic projects and the logistics networks they entail have…

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The Islamists’ Unfinished Questions

Amid the sweeping transformations reshaping the Arab East, a central question emerges: where does political Islam stand within these changes, how is it interacting with them, and how are they, in turn, reshaping it? This is the question that the recently published volume “Islamists After October 7: Questions of Identity and Destiny” (issued by the Politics and Society Institute and…

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Platforms in Budapest, Bombs in Tehran: The New Interventionism- and what it means for Jordan

On the evening of April 7, 2026, the United States Vice President stood on a stage in a Budapest football stadium and told Hungarians how to vote. JD Vance — who had arrived in the Hungarian capital declaring he was there to “help as much as I possibly can” — worked through an Orbán campaign rally, called Trump live on…

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Developing Jordan’s Energy Sector: From Security of Supply to Flexible Governance and Comprehensive System Design

Amid rapidly evolving geopolitical dynamics in the region, Jordan’s energy sector faces a complex challenge that extends beyond technical considerations to the core of economic and sovereign stability. This study demonstrates that the issue no longer lies in generation capacity or source diversification, but in the structure of the model itself, which struggles to balance cost, reliability, and autonomy. The…

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The Discourse War:How Iran Manages Its Information Battle in the Digital Space

Introduction: When Social Media Becomes a Battlefield Since October 7, 2023, war has no longer been confined to the ground. A parallel front has opened in the digital space — a contest over narrative, over image, over who controls what reaches the eyes of millions. But this front did not emerge suddenly, nor was it born of the Flood. In…

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Multi-Front Warfare and the Reconfiguration of Israeli Strategy Between Domestic and Regional Dimensions

Introduction The current war in the Middle East is unfolding within an intense regional context in which the ability to predict the trajectories of the conflict and its political and military outcomes has significantly diminished. Since October 7, the region has entered a new phase in which the war has expanded and assumed a multi-front character that is no longer…

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Key Insights on the Draft Social Security Law Prior to Amendment

The ongoing debate surrounding the proposed amendments to the Social Security Law in Jordan reflects a critical moment that goes beyond the boundaries of conventional legal discussions on legislative provisions. The issue at hand is not limited to adjusting the retirement age or eligibility conditions; rather, it extends to the nature of the relationship between the state and society in…

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A report by the Politics and Society Institute: Jordanian public opinion rejects the war on Iran without aligning with any side, approaching it primarily through the lens of its economic and security repercussions

More than 363.3 thousand Jordanian public posts discussed the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran. Over 31.3 thousand Jordanian public accounts engaged with the topic across social media platforms. More than 13 million Jordanian interactions, comments, and shares were recorded online regarding the war. A majority of Jordanians reject the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran, while simultaneously refraining from aligning with Iran. Approximately…

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Legislating Death: What Does the New Israeli Law Reveal?

The tools used to target and kill Palestinians are no longer confined to direct killing or field violence; they now also extend to legal and institutional structures that work to reorganize and manage repression within spaces of detention. Places where prisoners are held can thus be read as part of a broader structure for managing control and punishment and for…

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