Mohammad S. Alzou’bi

Senior Researcher at the Gulf Research Center (GRC); President and Founder of Makamen Consulting (DEVE); author of “Hyperpolar World Orders: A Reading of Emerging Economic, Security, and Digital Patterns in the International System,” and author of “Humane Mutual Assured Deterrence: Redefining Global Security in the Era of Autonomous Intelligence” (Summer 2026). He holds a master’s degree in international policy and diplomacy from UK Staffordshire University and is a former member of the Think Tanks and Civil Society Program (TTCSP) at the Lauder Institute at the University of Pennsylvania, USA.

International Policies

The Consequence That Became the Cause: The Strait of Hormuz and the Anatomy of a Warned-Of War

19 July 2026

There is a kind of catastrophe worse than being blindsided: the one you were warned about, in plain language, by the people whose job is to know — and chose to discount. The 2026 war against Iran is of this kind. Its defining feature is not an intelligence failure but a failure of reception. The event the intelligence correctly predicted…