Slide 3

Reconfiguring Lebanese Syrian Relations in the Context of War: A Policy Approach to Security and Borders

The ongoing escalation on Lebanon is no longer a security event that can be managed through the conventional tools the state has relied on in previous phases. The open confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah, occurring alongside the broader war on Iran, not only signals Lebanon’s transition into a more dangerous field phase, but also reveals the country’s entry into a…

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The “Post-Oslo” phase… How do Palestinians and Jordanians confront the actual annexation of the West Bank, displacement, and the undermining of the foundations of the Palestinian Authority?

The politics and society institute held a closed discussion session via Zoom on February 25, 2026, titled “The West Bank in the Context of Structural Transformation: Security, Political Legitimacy, and the Jordanian Strategic Environment.” The session addressed the ongoing transformations in the West Bank and their regional implications, in light of the rapid political and security developments in the region.…

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The Yarmouk Basin as a Test Case: Warning Signals and the “Oil Spot” Strategy in Managing Southern Syria

In a notable incident in the Yarmouk Basin area in the western countryside of Daraa Governorate, several residents received emergency warning messages on their mobile phones classified as “maximum severity.” The alerts were delivered in four languages-Arabic, Hebrew, English, and Russian-and were accompanied by audible alarms and automatic phone vibrations, including an automated audio reading of the message’s content. The…

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El Fasher Between Escalating Rapid Support and Attempts at International Truce

Since the outbreak of armed clashes in April 2023, Sudan has entered a phase of open conflict between the army and the Rapid Support Forces, a conflict that has gone beyond a dispute between two military commands to reveal a deeper crisis related to the structure of the Sudanese state itself. The confrontation that began in Khartoum quickly spread to…

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The Missing Exit Strategy

It is no longer sufficient to analyze Donald Trump’s speeches in order to construct an analytical framework for understanding the strategic objectives and perceptions of the United States in the current war with Iran. Trump’s rhetoric has clearly become a tool of strategic deception, as demonstrated twice in relation to the strikes on Iran. At the same time, it serves…

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Hezbollah and the U.S.-Iran War: The Bets of Lost Time for an Equation in the Process of Collapsing”

“In this article, the assistant researcher at the Institute of Politics and Society, Meera Meshal, discusses the reasons that prompted Hezbollah to engage in the war  in favor of Iran in confronting the United States and Israel. She reviews the hypotheses about this intervention, whether they are internal, related to the relationship with the current Lebanese government, or regional and…

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The Pragmatic Infiltration of Left-Ideology States

Many observers of the ongoing war between Iran, the United States, and Israel have been questioning the positions of China and Russia-to which one may add the position of Vietnam. Yet the prevailing Arab political culture-often adorned with notions such as honor, solidarity, and standing with the “just cause”-reflects a persistent conflation between political values and individual moral values, making…

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Syria and the War on Iran: The Dilemma of Hostility and Neutrality

The U.S.–Israeli war on Iran has reopened the prospect of a new phase of regional instability in the Middle East. Its repercussions are not confined to the direct parties to the conflict; rather, they extend to other arenas intertwined with the region’s broader strategic balances. In this context, Syria emerges as one of the states most sensitive to these developments,…

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Beyond the Supreme Leader: Reshaping Iran’s Domestic Order and the Balance of Power in the Middle East

The hypothetical absence of Iran’s Supreme Leader can be understood as a potentially pivotal moment, though not necessarily as an automatic collapse of the regional balance of power. Since the 1979 revolution, the Iranian political system has not been constructed around a single individual; rather, it rests on a complex institutional–security–ideological architecture in which power is distributed among the religious…

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From the Strait of Hormuz Crisis to Resource Integration: The Fourth Gulf War as a Historic Opportunity to Reconfigure Energy and Water Security in the Middle East

• The escalation between the United States, Iran, and Israel represents a structural shock to the global energy system rather than merely a temporary military crisis.• Energy security has become an integral component of geopolitical deterrence calculations, not solely an economic matter.• The Strait of Hormuz constitutes the most critical chokepoint in the global economy due to the concentration of…

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